Political Quirks - D66
Posts in the D66 category.
Part of Parties.
There will be general elections next March, and the dozen-plus-a-few Dutch parties are preparing for them. It’s time for another series of party profiles. We’ll go in order from small to large according to the August 2020 polls.
Today we continue with centrist, secular coalition party D66.
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A surprise at the start of this week: informer Edith Schippers (VVD) resigned and parliament appointed former vice-chairman of the Council of State, former informer, and former advisor of Queen Beatrix, Herman Tjeenk Willink (PvdA) as her successor. In case his titles aren’t clear enough: he’s considered a wise statesman who’s above the current political fray.
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The formation of the new government has reached a very vague stage where nobody is certain what is going to happen.
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There’s not a great deal of news about the formation. Scout Schippers, who will likely be bumped up to informer soon, will talk with VVD, CDA, D66, and GL tomorrow. She also asked parliament for more time, which she’ll likely get.
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Today the government formation officially started. “Scout” Edith Schippers (VVD) talked to all thirteen party leaders in order to find out which coalitions they deemed most logical after the elections. Their replies are being shared openly, and give a first indication as to what’s going to happen.
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The Dutch elections are on 15th of March, and in the current international political climate they could take on an importance that goes well beyond our national parliament. Pundits and commentators might (ab)use the results to make predictions on the upcoming French and German elections (which will take place in April/May and September, respectively). So let’s take a look at the current situation. Last week we looked at the right; today we’ll look at the left.
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Last week the Amsterdam negotiations finally succeeded. The capital will be governed by a coalition of D66, VVD, and SP. The PvdA, which was part of the coalition from 1946 on, has been banished to the opposition, as was its loyal wing lieutenant GL. Also, the VVD has agreed to work with the SP, a combination that so far was ruled not impossible, but very, very unlikely.
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The local Amsterdam formation, which I last reported on a month ago, has taken some strange turns. In the last installment we saw that big winner D66 was talking with GL in order to come to an agreement, after which a third party would be invited to join the nascent coalition. This has not happened.
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The situation in the Amsterdam formation has changed: where previously D66+VVD+SP was considered because PvdA and GL had formed a block, GL has now broken that block and ditched the PvdA. In return, D66 ditched the VVD and now talks exclusively with GL.
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Like in all Dutch cities and communities, Amsterdam is in the throes of local negotiations to form the new city government. In Amsterdam D66 won a surprisingly large victory, 7 to 14 seats, while traditional power party PvdA dropped from 15 to 10. Thus D66 has the initiative, and Rinnooy Kan, a D66 member who was previously chairman of the prestigious Social-Economic Council, was appointed informer.
Today he unveiled his first report: at the moment it seems we’re headed for a surprising D66+SP+VVD coalition. This is not yet final; anything can change, and it’s not a combination local politics watchers considered likely, but it’s where we are now. Source: Parool.
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Yesterday local elections were held, and the results for the coalition parties are disastrous. In itself that’s nothing new — coalition partners generally lose seats in elections, but there are a few twists.
Broadly speaking, the PvdA lost disastrously, and the VVD rather less so. D66 was the big winner, followed by the SP and small christian CU and SGP. The CDA lost seats but not nearly as many as was predicted.
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Back in the good old days there were three parties: PvdA on the left, CDA in the centre, and VVD on the right.
From 1946 to 1994 the CDA (and its predecessor parties) sat in government and decided on a case-by-case basis whether to form a coalition with PvdA or VVD. Then the CDA itself started to belong to the right but that didn’t change its position in politics. It could go over left, and did so occasionally just to remind the VVD.
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The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners; especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore, just like in 2010, I’m running a mini-series that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of winning seats. We’ll go from smallest to largest.
Today we’ll continue with centrist D66.
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This week was less hectic than last, but still plenty of things are happening.
There are two main items this week: the fall-out of the austerity agreement, and the CDA leadership election. But first, a sad anniversary.
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This week was a spectacular one in Dutch politics, with expectations starting very low but climbing to dizzying heights at the end of the week, after a five-party austerity agreement was reached. Winners: D66, CU, and maybe GL and CDA. Losers: PvdA and possibly the PVV.
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Well, it seems VVD leader Rutte is no longer rejecting the Purple-Plus VVD+PvdA+D66+GL coalition. Commentators expect the next few days of Tjeenk Willink’s informership to be spent on exploring this possibility further.
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Some minor points:
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CDA secretary of state Van Bijsterveldt (not to be confused with Bijleveld) said that she felt the PVV is too right-wing to really form a coalition with.
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In an interview D66 leader Pechtold names the first concrete coalition preference: PvdA+VVD+D66+GL. The preference itself is old news, but the fact that he openly calls for this coalition is new.
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In order to properly prepare you for what’s going to happen after the elections
it’s time to talk about coalitions. Dutch parties and voters have been thinking about them
from the start, and they are everyone’s number 2 priority (number 1 being “How do
I get as many votes as possible?” or “Which party shall I vote for?”)
Today we close off with Centre-left.
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D66 leader Pechtold gives a brilliant example of how to discuss your coalition preferences without actually discussing your coalition preferences. This is the bit the Brits should practice before switching to a new electoral system.
In an interview Pechtold proposed that parties would state their coalition preferences before the elections. Thus voters would know what they’d get when they vote for a party.
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In the past six weeks or so I haven’t been as active on this blog as I’d planned, but in the end this is a personal side project that I either have time for or don’t. Fortunately the past weeks were also relatively quiet on the political front. The local elections have run their course, and the parties are now gearing up for the general elections.
The campaign will start in two weeks or so, because late April/early May features a few Dutch-only holidays: Queen’s Day on 30 April, Remembrance Day on 4 May, and Liberation Day on 5 May. (The latter two both celebrate our liberation from the nazis in 1945). Besides, there’s a two-week school holiday right now, and many voters are abroad on some beach or so. Little sense in starting up your campaign now.
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Peil.nl had published a new poll in which
respondents were asked for their wishes and expectations regarding coalitions and
prime ministers. There are a few nuggets in here.
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When I started the Negotiations to Watch series I didn’t think the Amsterdam negotiations would bear watching. However, they have evolved into a curious situation that has the potential to hurt D66.
So an extra Amsterdam bulletin is in order. Besides, monitoring such negotiations will be a useful practice run for June and July, when this blog will mainly discuss the national coalition negotiations.
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Because I’ve been unable to work on this blog last week we’ve got a backlog of interesting stuff. So I’ll run a series of quick updates on a variety of topics.
First the local negotiations in Den Haag.
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In order to properly prepare you for what’s going to happen after the elections
it’s time to talk about coalitions. Dutch parties and voters have been thinking about them
from the start, and they are everyone’s number 2 priority (number 1 being “How do
I get as many votes as possible?” or “Which party shall I vote for?”)
Today we continue with Purple.
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I owe my readers an apology for not posting much last week. I was too busy doing other stuff, and
besides Dutch politics are now in a relatively calm phase where relatively little is happening.
Anyway, both Peil.nl and the
Politieke Barometer have published
new polls, and I’ve added them to the polls page.
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It’s time to return to the local coalition negotiations in Rotterdam, Almere, and Den Haag.
All three are unusual in that a large right-wing party (Leefbaar Rotterdam and twice Wilders’s
PVV) challenges the might of the local PvdA.
Besides, monitoring these negotiations will be a useful practice run for June and July, when this
blog will mainly discuss the national coalition negotiations.
Today we close off with Den Haag.
continue reading
In order to properly prepare you for what’s going to happen after the elections
it’s time to talk about coalitions. Dutch parties and voters have been thinking about them
from the start, and they are everyone’s number 2 priority (number 1 being “How do
I get as many votes as possible?” or “Which party shall I vote for?”)
Today we continue with Centre-right.
continue reading
In order to properly prepare you for what’s going to happen after the elections
it’s time to talk about coalitions. Dutch parties and voters have been thinking about them
from the start, and they are everyone’s number 2 priority (number 1 being “How do
I get as many votes as possible?” or “Which party shall I vote for?”)
Today we continue with Left.
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Some small fry from the past ten days that might be of interest to political observers:
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The new Peil.nl
poll has landed, and I’ve added it to the polls page.
Here, too, there’s little change. PvdA wins two seats, one each from GL and D66, VVD
also wins two seats, one each from CDA and PVV. Just like in Thursday’s Politieke Barometer
the PVV starts to go down ever so slightly, the SP halts is downward trend, and the CDA vacillates
but generally goes down. No change in left vs. right, but the broad centre (PvdA, D66, CDA, VVD)
wins one seat from each of the flanks.
On my scoreboard the battle for second place after PvdA has started, and it’s exclusively
between the three parties of the right. If the VVD captures two more seats from the CDA, it is the
second-largest party of the country.
The Purple coalition rises some more (it contains both winners PvdA and VVD, after all), and
is now at the same level as the coalition on the right.
An extra question was asked about the tax deductability of interest payments on mortgages.
continue reading
In order to properly prepare you for what’s going to happen after the elections
it’s time to talk about coalitions. Dutch parties and voters have been thinking about them
from the start, and they are everyone’s number 2 priority (number 1 being “How do
I get as many votes as possible?” or “Which party shall I vote for?”)
Today we’ll start with a broad overview. Separate posts will discuss each of the
five most likely coalitions.
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Oh my, the new Peil.nl poll
has landed two days early. I’ve added it to the polls page.
The timing is surprising, the content isn’t. Basically it confirms Thursday’s poll
in that the PvdA wins five seats, of which one comes from the right, two from D66, and one each
from GL and SP. The centre-left PvdA+CDA+D66 coalition does not yet have a majority in this poll,
but does win two seats.
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The new Politieke Barometer
poll has landed, and I’ve added it to the polls page.
The PvdA won seven seats, and that’s really a lot for just one week.
Even in my dampened-down average the PvdA is now four seats larger than the CDA.
It’s clear that the appointment of Cohen has been an excellent move.
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The new Peil.nl poll
has landed, and I’ve added it to the polls
page.
The most important change is that the PvdA continues to win (+3 this week), and that
the incrowd parties PvdA, CDA, VVD, and D66 combined also win (+4 together). The latter is odd
for Peil.nl, which generally tends to give extreme and small parties more seats than its competitors
do.
In general Peil.nl is moving to the numbers the Politieke Barometer gives.
Still, it’s too early to tell whether this means a true change in the electorate or a
random fluctuation.
On Wednesday Dutch voted for their local councils, and the result is interesting. SP leader Kant resigns, Wilders’s PVV the largest party in one city, PvdA and CDA lose, D66 wins.
Before we continue, one housekeeping note: I will be away for the weekend, and there will be no updates to this blog. Publication will resume on Monday.
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The Dutch nine-to-twelve-party system is sometimes hard to understand for foreigners;
especially when the small parties come into play. Therefore I’m running a mini-series
that treats all eleven parties that stand a decent chance of getting seats in the upcoming elections.
We’ll go from largest to smallest.
Today we’ll continue with D66.
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Some small fry that might be of interest to political observers:
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This is the political blog of Peter-Paul Koch, mobile platform strategist, consultant, and trainer,
in Amsterdam. It’s a hobby blog where he follows Dutch politics for the benefit of those twelve
foreigners that are interested in such matters, as well as his Dutch readers.
If you like this blog, why not donate a little bit of money to help me pay my bills?
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