Q2 2011 mobile browser stats for 12 countries 2/2

Today we’ll finish the report on the Q2 2011 mobile browser stats according to StatCounter by treating the six countries with the least mobile browsing market share. Remember that the methodology of the detection changed in late April.

Part 1 appeared last week. Your donation for keeping this series up and running would be much appreciated.

Mexico

The development of the Mexican mobile market this quarter is curious. The mobile share of all website visits doubled to 6%, Opera gained 20 (twenty) points, while Safari lost 11 and Nokia 6.

That’s a movement one could expect over a year, but it is too much for a single quarter. I suspected a fudging factor, and fortunately David Storey of Opera identified it for me.

The cause of the movement is a hack, discovered in January, that allowed Opera Mini users to get free mobile internet on the T3LC3L network. Predictably, the operator was less than amused and closed the gap in May. (Not really a quick response, but still.)

The month-by-month stats show a big Opera decrease in June, as one would expect. Curiously, the Opera share goes back up again to May levels in July, an occurrence that David confirmed from internal Opera stats. Either T3LC3L has another security hole, or something else has happened.

From the browser statistics it would seem that it was to a large degree a case of iPhone users switching to Opera Mini in order to get free network access. David denied this, though: the iPhone does not appear in Mexico’s most popular Opera Mini devices. Neither Opera’s April nor the June stats for Mexico (go there by hand; no internal anchors) show the iPhone, although Opera hasn’t released the crucial May stats.

David offered the theory that the new Opera Mini users were mostly new surfers, who previously hadn’t wanted to pay for the privilege. That fits with the immense increase in mobile browsing as a whole.

In any case, the huge Opera Mini upsurge and the huge increase in mobile web usage are anomalies. Both will likely shed some market share in Q3, or there’s yet another fudging factor involved.

Stay tuned.

Q2 2011 browser stats for Mexico
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
Opera 37% +20 17% +8 9%
Nokia 23% -6 29% 0 29%
Safari 15% -11 26% -4 30%
BlackBerry 9% -3 12% 0 12%
Android 7% 0 7% +3 4%
Obigo 2% +2 - - -
NetFront 2% -1 3% -1 4%
Sony PSP 1% -1 2% -1 3% Play Station Portable. NetFront-based.
Sony Ericsson 1% 0 1% 0 1% NetFront-based
Samsung 1% -1 2% 0 2% Real change 0
Dolfin 1% +1 - - -
Other 1% 0 1% -5 6%
Volatility 23% 11%
WebKit 46% -16 62% -5 67% Safari, Nokia, Android, Dolfin
Mobile 6% +3 3% +1 2% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

Brazil

It’s in Brazil that StatCounter’s revised methodology is most clearly visible. It turns out that Obigo has a 7% market share (counted as unknown desktop browsers until this quarter), and Jasmine 6% (counted as Samsung until this quarter). The NetFront losses are due to a bug and will be corrected in Q3, and the Other market share, which includes Unknown, will go down once more.

Although the Brazilian browser market seems as dynamic as the Mexican, it’s not really. If we discount the changes detailed above nothing much has happened in the past quarter. Nokia lost four points which were picked up by Opera and Android, and several minor browsers made the table due to my more relaxed methodology.

Q2 2011 browser stats for Brazil
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
Nokia 32% -4 36% -2 38%
Opera 23% +2 21% -8 29%
NetFront 7% -4 11% +2 9%
Obigo 7% +7 - - -
Jasmine 6% +6 - - -
Android 6% +1 5% +2 3%
Motorola 4% -2 6% +2 4% Not Android. Could be Opera, could be something Brew-based.
Safari 3% -1 4% 0 4%
Samsung 3% -9 12% +6 6% Real change -2
Openwave 1% -1 2% 0 2%
Dolfin 1% +1 - - -
Bolt 1% 0 1% -1 2% WebKit-based proxy browser
Sony Ericsson 1% +1 0 0 0
BlackBerry 1% +1 0 0 0
Other 4% +2 2% -1 3%
Volatility 21% 12%
WebKit 42% -16 58% +5 53% Safari, Nokia, Dolfin, Android, Bolt
Mobile 3% +1 2% 0 2% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

China

In China the UC proxy browser continues to lose terrain, and this quarter it’s mainly Nokia that profits. This sounds counter-intuitive: why would proxy browser users switch to a non-proxy browser that’s neither Safari nor Android?

One theory is that what’s called “Nokia” here is not Nokia WebKit but the Gecko-based Ovi proxy browser whose roll-out Nokia has started in Q1. Currently StatCounter detects Ovi as Nokia. I requested a change here

Another possibility is that certain UC browsers are misdetected as Nokia; I found such an issue and reported it to StatCounter.

Other than that the market is pretty static: Safari picks up a point from Opera, but that’s about it. I think the Chinese struggle is proxy browser vs. proxy browser, with, oddly, Opera not really taking part.

Q2 2011 browser stats for China
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
UC 53% -10 63% -5 68% Proxy browser with its own rendering engine
Nokia 25% +10 15% -1 16%
Safari 13% +1 12% +5 7%
Android 4% 0 4% +2 2%
Opera 2% -1 3% 0 3%
Sony Ericsson 1% 0 1% -1 2% NetFront-based
Samsung 1% 0 1% 0 1%
Other 1% 0 1% 0 1%
Volatility 11% 7%
WebKit 42% +10 32% +6 26% Safari, Nokia, Android
Mobile 3% +1 2% 0 2% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

The Netherlands

In the Netherlands Safari continues to lead, but also continues to lose ground to Android. Other than that not much happens. I’m as patriotic as the next guy, but even I must admit that my own browser market is bloody boring. As such it’s a good example of the average Western market (except the US and UK).

Q2 2011 browser stats for the Netherlands
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
Safari 50% -3 53% +1 52%
Android 32% +5 27% +4 23%
Nokia 7% -1 8% -3 11%
BlackBerry 5% +1 4% -1 5%
Opera 3% -1 4% 0 4%
Dolfin 1% +1 - - -
Samsung 1% -1 2% 0 2% Real change 0
Other 1% -1 2% -1 3%
Volatility 7% 5%
WebKit 90% 0 90% +2 88% Safari, Nokia, Android, Dolfin, 10% of BlackBerry
Mobile 3% +1 2% 0 2% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

Egypt

Egypt, too, is a stable mobile browser market. Nokia loses two points, Safari and Android pick up one, the detection change has some points changing hands, and that’s it. Yawn.

Q2 2011 browser stats for Egypt
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
Opera 61% 0 61% 0 61%
Nokia 26% -2 28% -2 30%
Safari 5% +1 4% +1 3%
BlackBerry 2% 0 2% +1 1%
Android 2% +1 1% +1 0%
NetFront 1% 0 1% 0 1%
Jasmine 1% +1 - - -
Dolfin 1% +1 - - -
Samsung 1% -1 2% +1 1% Real change +1
Other 0 -1 1% -2 3%
Volatility 4% 4%
WebKit 34% -1 35% +2 33% Safari, Nokia, Dolfin, Android
Mobile 2% 0 2% 0 2% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

Poland

Superficially, Poland has seen more action than the Netherlands and Egypt combined. Unfortunately most of the action comes from the methodology change. I will not give an analysis this quarter but wait until next.

Q2 2011 browser stats for Poland
Browser Q2 2011 ch Q1 2011 ch Q4 2010 Remarks
Opera 55% -1 56% +3 53%
Android 14% +1 13% +3 10%
Nokia 9% -1 10% -2 12%
Safari 9% -1 10% -1 11%
NetFront 4% 0 4% -3 7%
Dolfin 3% +3 - - -
Bolt 1% +1 0 0 0 WebKit-based proxy browser
Samsung 1% -3 4% +1 3% Real change +1
Jasmine 1% +1 - - -
Sony PSP 1% +1 0 0 0
Obigo 1% +1 - - -
LG 1% +1 0 0 0 Dunno
Other 0 -3 3% -1 4%
Volatility 9% 7%
WebKit 35% -2 37% +1 36% Safari, Nokia, Android, Dolfin
Mobile 1% 0 1% 0 1% Mobile browsing as percentage of all browsing

Big Five overview

Finally, a quick overview of the Big Five in the twelve selected countries.

Big Five browsers Q2 2011 in twelve countries.
Country Safari ch Opera ch Nokia ch Android ch BlackBerry ch
Nigeria - - 90% +5 5% -1 - - - -
India 1% +1 57% -3 26% 0 1% +1 - -
Indonesia - - 49% +1 14% -1 3% +3 28% -1
South Korea 6% -6 - - - - 93% +7 - -
US 36% -1 2% 0 4% +2 32% +3 21% -3
UK 38% -3 3% 0 3% 0 14% +1 39% +2
Mexico 15% -11 37% +20 23% -6 7% 0 9% -3
Brazil 3% -1 23% +2 32% -4 6% +1 1% +1
China 13% +1 2% -1 25% +10 4% 0 - -
Netherlands 50% -3 3% -1 7% -1 32% +5 5% +1
Egypt 5% +1 61% 0 26% -2 2% +1 2% 0
Poland 9% -1 55% -1 9% -1 14% +1 - -

This is the blog of Peter-Paul Koch, mobile platform strategist, consultant, and trainer. You can also follow him on Twitter.
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